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Improvement and Validation of Multiyear Auroral Analysis to Categorize Scintillation Event Layer
Title
Improvement and Validation of Multiyear Auroral Analysis to Categorize Scintillation Event Layer
Creator
English, Breanna R.
Date
2022
Description
Ionospheric irregularities scintillate electromagnetic waves, such as Global Positioning System (GPS) signals, as they pass through the...
Show moreIonospheric irregularities scintillate electromagnetic waves, such as Global Positioning System (GPS) signals, as they pass through the ionosphere, especially in auroral zones. A previous method was developed to determine which layer of the ionosphere these scintillation events occurred in by analyzing optical all sky images (ASI). The results of determining the ionospheric scattering layer using the ratio of 630 nm (red) intensity to 428 nm (blue) intensity were compared to a radar-based method of determining the scintillation layer, and it was found that the results disagreed. In this work, the ASI method is critically analyzed to identify possible errors or sensitivities in the original method that might resolve the discrepancy. This is done by improving and validating the nighttime auroral cloud detection method by comparing to National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) satellite cloud data. Then a sensitivity analysis is performed on the ASI method to determine which parameters of the method the results are sensitive to. The keogram cloud detection method is improved by automating the selection of the keogram time points that are used to calculate a flat-field gain correction, and by calculating the flat field gain for each year rather than calculatingit once and using it for all years of the study. Keogram cloud detection using the coefficient of variation is verified by comparing the keogram results to true sky conditions based on NOAA cloud mask data, and using detection theory to determine the optimal coefficient of variation threshold. We find that the ideal keogram threshold was 0.37 producing a disagreement rate of 22.4%. The ASI image analysis criteria tested are: the ASI azimuth and elevation mapping files, the magnetic zenith limit, the number of pixels of the ASI that are being analyzed, the duration of the scintillation event that is analyzed, and the red-to-blue ratio threshold. It is found that only changing the red-to-blue ratio threshold has a significant effect on the ASI method, with the red-to-blue ratio that minimizes the number of misattributed layers found to be 1.43.
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Development of data assimilation for analysis of ion drifts during geomagnetic storms
Title
Development of data assimilation for analysis of ion drifts during geomagnetic storms
Creator
Hu, Jiahui
Date
2024
Description
The primary objective of this dissertation is to gain insight into geomagnetic storm effects at mid-latitudes induced by solar activity....
Show moreThe primary objective of this dissertation is to gain insight into geomagnetic storm effects at mid-latitudes induced by solar activity. Geomagnetic storms affect our everyday lives because they give rise to transient signal loss, data transmission errors, negatively impacting users of satellite navigation systems. The Nighttime Localized Ionospheric Enhancement (NILE) is a localized plasma enhancement that because it is not well understood, drives the design of satellite-based augmentationsystems. To better secure operation of technological infrastructure, it is essential to build a comprehensive understanding of the atmospheric drivers, especially during solar active periods. Instrument measurements and climate models serve as valuable tools in obtaining information regarding the occurrence of space weather events; nonetheless, both sources exhibit quantitative and qualitative limitations. Data assimilation, an evolving technique, integrates measurements and model information to optimize the state estimations. This dissertation presents developments in a data assimilation algorithm known as Estimating Model Parameters from Ionospheric Reverse Engineering (EMPIRE), and its applications in investigating the atmospheric behaviors under varying solar conditions. EMPIRE is a data assimilation algorithm specifically designed for upper atmospheric driver estimation of neutral wind and ion drifts at user-defined spatial and temporal scales. The EMPIRE application in this work aims to contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the effects of the NILE. EMPIRE utilizes the Kalman filter to optimize state calculations primarily based on electron density rates, provided by other data assimilation algorithms. Earlier runs of the algorithm used pre-defined values for the background state covariance cross time. To address model limitations under changing geomagnetic conditions, the algorithm is enhanced by concurrently updating the background state covariance during assimilation processes. Additionally, representation error is incor- porated as a component of the observation error, and error analysis is performed through a synthetic-data study. Previously, EMPIRE fused Fabry-Perot Interferometer (FPI) neutral wind measurements, demonstrating increased agreement with validation neutral wind data. In this work, this approach is extended to augment Coherent Scatter Radar (CSR) ion drift measurements from Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN), providing additional insights into EMPIRE’s estimated field-perpendicular ion motion. For an in-depth exploration of storm-related NILE, both EMPIRE and another data assimilation method, the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere and ionosphere eXtension coupled with Data Assimilation Research Testbed (WACCM-X + DART), is implemented for a storm event to test the proposed NILE driving mechanism. Furthermore, this dissertation introduces a Kalman smoother technique into the EMPIRE to enhance its ability to assess past storm events, and to explore the potential for algorithm improvements.
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