Search results

(1 - 2 of 2)
GLOBAL ESTIMATION AND ANALYSIS OF IONOSPHERIC DRIVERS WITH A DATA ASSIMILATION ALGORITHM
Title
GLOBAL ESTIMATION AND ANALYSIS OF IONOSPHERIC DRIVERS WITH A DATA ASSIMILATION ALGORITHM
Creator
López Rubio, Aurora
Date
2022
Description
This dissertation studies a data assimilation algorithm that estimates the drivers of the ionosphere-thermosphere (IT) region of the Earth....
Show moreThis dissertation studies a data assimilation algorithm that estimates the drivers of the ionosphere-thermosphere (IT) region of the Earth. The algorithm, EMPIRE (Estimating Model Parameters from Ionospheric Reverse Engineering) can estimate 2 main drivers of the ionospheric behavior: neutral winds and electric potential by ingesting mainly ionospheric densities obtained through Global Satellite System (GNSS) measurements. Additionally, the algorithm can ingest FPI (Fabry-Perot interferometer) neutral wind measurements. The contributions include 1) Vector spherical harmonic basis function for neutral wind estimation, 2) Quantification of the representation error of the estimations of the algorithm EMPIRE, 3) Analysis of Nighttime Ionospheric Localized density Enhancement (NILE) events and 4) Ingestion of global ICON (Ionospheric Connection Explorer) neutral winds measurements. The IT region in the atmosphere is characterized by having a large concentration of free ions and electrons, electromagnetic radiation and Earth's magnetic field. The behavior of the region is dominated by the solar activity, that ionizes the free electrons of the region, forming ionospheric plasma and determining its density. Unusual solar activity or any atmospheric disturbance affects the distribution of the ionospheric plasma and the behavior of the IT region. The redistribution of the ionospheric density impacts technology widely used such as telecommunication or satellite navigation, so it is increasingly important to study the IT system response. The IT behavior can be characterized by what drives its changes. Two drivers that play a key role, the ones we focus on this dissertation, are electric potential, that directly affects the charged ions in the system, and neutral winds, that refers to the velocity of the neutral particles that form the thermosphere. To quantify these drivers, measurements and climate models are available. Measurements are limited as the IT region is vast and covers the entire globe. Climate models can provide information in all the region, but they are usually not as reliable during the unusual solar activity conditions or disturbances. In this dissertation we use a data assimilation algorithm, EMPIRE, that combines both sources of data, measurements and models, to estimate the IT drivers, neutral winds and electric potential. EMPIRE ingests measurements of the plasma density rate and models the physics of the region with the ion continuity equation. The drivers are represented with basis functions and their coefficients are estimated by fitting the expansions with a Kalman filter. In previous work and use of the algorithm, the neutral winds were expanded using power series basis function for each of the components of the vector. The first contribution of the dissertation is to use a vector spherical harmonic expansion to describe the winds, allowing a continuous expansion around the globe and self-consistent components of the vector. Before, EMPIRE estimated the correction of the drivers with respect climate model values. In this work, EMPIRE is also modified to directly estimate the drivers. Then, a study of the representation error, which is the discrepancy between the true physics and the discrete model that represents the physics of EMPIRE and its quantification is done. Next, EMPIRE is used to analyze two NILE events, using the global estimation of both winds, from the first contribution, and the electric potential, derived in previous work. Finally, global estimation of winds allows us to implement the ingestion of ICON global winds in EMPIRE, in addition to the plasma density rate measurements.
Show less
Development of data assimilation for analysis of ion drifts during geomagnetic storms
Title
Development of data assimilation for analysis of ion drifts during geomagnetic storms
Creator
Hu, Jiahui
Date
2024
Description
The primary objective of this dissertation is to gain insight into geomagnetic storm effects at mid-latitudes induced by solar activity....
Show moreThe primary objective of this dissertation is to gain insight into geomagnetic storm effects at mid-latitudes induced by solar activity. Geomagnetic storms affect our everyday lives because they give rise to transient signal loss, data transmission errors, negatively impacting users of satellite navigation systems. The Nighttime Localized Ionospheric Enhancement (NILE) is a localized plasma enhancement that because it is not well understood, drives the design of satellite-based augmentationsystems. To better secure operation of technological infrastructure, it is essential to build a comprehensive understanding of the atmospheric drivers, especially during solar active periods. Instrument measurements and climate models serve as valuable tools in obtaining information regarding the occurrence of space weather events; nonetheless, both sources exhibit quantitative and qualitative limitations. Data assimilation, an evolving technique, integrates measurements and model information to optimize the state estimations. This dissertation presents developments in a data assimilation algorithm known as Estimating Model Parameters from Ionospheric Reverse Engineering (EMPIRE), and its applications in investigating the atmospheric behaviors under varying solar conditions. EMPIRE is a data assimilation algorithm specifically designed for upper atmospheric driver estimation of neutral wind and ion drifts at user-defined spatial and temporal scales. The EMPIRE application in this work aims to contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the effects of the NILE. EMPIRE utilizes the Kalman filter to optimize state calculations primarily based on electron density rates, provided by other data assimilation algorithms. Earlier runs of the algorithm used pre-defined values for the background state covariance cross time. To address model limitations under changing geomagnetic conditions, the algorithm is enhanced by concurrently updating the background state covariance during assimilation processes. Additionally, representation error is incor- porated as a component of the observation error, and error analysis is performed through a synthetic-data study. Previously, EMPIRE fused Fabry-Perot Interferometer (FPI) neutral wind measurements, demonstrating increased agreement with validation neutral wind data. In this work, this approach is extended to augment Coherent Scatter Radar (CSR) ion drift measurements from Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN), providing additional insights into EMPIRE’s estimated field-perpendicular ion motion. For an in-depth exploration of storm-related NILE, both EMPIRE and another data assimilation method, the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model with thermosphere and ionosphere eXtension coupled with Data Assimilation Research Testbed (WACCM-X + DART), is implemented for a storm event to test the proposed NILE driving mechanism. Furthermore, this dissertation introduces a Kalman smoother technique into the EMPIRE to enhance its ability to assess past storm events, and to explore the potential for algorithm improvements.
Show less