To evaluate the goodness-of-fit of a statistical model to given data, calculating a conditional p value by a Markov chain Monte Carlo method... Show moreTo evaluate the goodness-of-fit of a statistical model to given data, calculating a conditional p value by a Markov chain Monte Carlo method is one of the effective approaches. For this purpose, a Markov basis plays an important role because it guarantees the connectivity of the chain, which is needed for unbiasedness of the estimation, and therefore is investigated in various settings such as incomplete tables or subtable sum constraints. In this paper, we consider the two-way change-point model for the ladder determinantal table, which is an extension of these two previous works, i.e., works on incomplete tables by Aoki and Takemura (2005, J. Stat. Comput. Simulat.) and subtable some constraints by Hara, Takemura and Yoshida (2010, J. Pure Appl. Algebra). Our main result is based on the theory of Gr ?obner basis for the distributive lattice. We give a numerical example for actual data. Show less
We consider the lattice, L, of all subsets of a multidimensional contingency table and establish the properties of monotonicity and... Show moreWe consider the lattice, L, of all subsets of a multidimensional contingency table and establish the properties of monotonicity and supermodularity for the marginalization function, n(·), on L. We derive from the supermodularity of n(·) some generalized Fr ́echet inequalities comple- menting and extending inequalities of Dobra and Fienberg. Further, we construct new monotonic and supermodular functions from n(·), and we remark on the connection between supermodularity and some correlation inequalities for probability distributions on lattices. We also apply an inequal- ity of Ky Fan to derive a new approach to Fr ́echet inequalities for multidimensional contingency tables. Show less