In a multistage manufacturing process, variation propagates in the process when we produce products from stage to stage. Since there are... Show moreIn a multistage manufacturing process, variation propagates in the process when we produce products from stage to stage. Since there are limits of reducing variation through process in traditional industrial management and it is hard to monitor the process when the engineering domain knowledge is insufficient. We investigated statistical methods based on piecewise tree regression model including: CART, Bayesian CART, Bayesian treed linear model and Bayesian treed Gaussian process to multistage manufacturing process. The difference performances between models were discussed in a wafer manufacturing process case as a result comparison. Key Words: Multistage process, variation propagation, process monitoring, piecewise tree regression M.S. in Applied Mathematics, May 2014 Show less